Watch full movie Najat Vallaud-Belkacem, L`École Du Pouvoir with english subtitles in 12806/11/2017 Najat Vallaud-Belkacem, née Najat Belkacem le 4 octobre 1977 à Beni Chiker, dans la région du Rif, au nord-est du Maroc, est une femme politique française. De rapports de la Cour des comptes en classements internationaux, l’École française est partout brocardée pour ses coûts, son inefficacité et son injustice. Najat Vallaud-Belkacem moquée par les internautes pour. Najat Vallaud- Belkacem souhaite r. Elle se fait soit au regard du dossier de l’. Cette solution ne peut . Ce sera aux acteurs de construire ces crit. La ministre de l’éducation nationale, Najat Vallaud-Belkacem, souhaite « finaliser une proposition », en octobre, sur la réforme du master, l’un des trois. Najat Vallaud-Belkacem, ministre de l'Éducation nationale, de l'Enseignement supérieur et de la Recherche, s'est exprimée sur la rentrée 2016. Astrologie : Najat Vallaud-Belkacem, née le 4 octobre 1977 à Bni Chiker, thème astral, horoscope, astrologie et extrait de portrait astrologique, carte du ciel.
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Prozess gegen Asli Erdogan: Vorwurf: Terrorpropaganda. Wegen des Vorwurfs der Terrorpropaganda sa. Der Staatsanwalt fordert lebensl. Sie bestreitet die Vorw. Erstmals seit ihrer Freilassung kurz vor Silvester steht sie heute vor Gericht. Schwerstrafengericht im Justizpalast von Istanbul. Das riesige, kreisrunde Gerichtsgeb. Der Gedanke an die gut viermonatige Untersuchungshaft l. Dazwischen ein kleiner Innenhof. Schaut man nach oben sieht man durch das Drahtdach des Innenhofs circa 5. Staatsanwältin überzeugt: Roland W. In Dietikon ZH wird Ende April einer der schlimmsten Pädo. Der Vertreter der Anklage sei zudem schriftlich mit dem Tod bedroht worden, sollte er zu dem Prozess am Amtsgericht in Kamenz erscheinen. Der Staatsanwalt sei wegen. Quadratmeter Himmel. Im Herbst kann man die V. Manchmal haben wir auch den Vollmond gesehen. Und einmal sah ich einen Regenbogen. Ansonsten ist alles nur Beton und Eisen. Erdogan wirkt gefasst, aber auch m. Dazu kommt das Ausreiseverbot und die Tatsache, dass sie sich noch immer nicht im Stande f. Es ist offensichtlich, dass Erdogan aufgrund ihrer Artikel auf der Anklagebank eines solchen Prozesses sitzt. Ich kenne das System mittlerweile - mehr oder weniger kenne ich es. Aber so schnell wird das nicht sein. Der Prozess wird wahrscheinlich noch mindestens ein Jahr oder so dauern.. Richter auf Probe - Die Einstellungsvoraussetzungen im . Justizministerium optimal vorbereiten. EXKLUSIV NUR AUF JURISTENKOFFER. DE! Staatsanwalt zu werden! WEITERE INFOS UND BESTELLFORMULAR. Der Staatsanwalt EpisodenEinstiegsgehalt vom Staatsanwalt - Wie hoch ist der Verdienst und wie entwickelt sich das Gehalt im Laufe des Berufslebens? Wie lange dauert bis ein Brief zuhause ist?? Ich hab noch kein Brief von der Polizei bekommen noch vom Staatsanwalt sind schon 18 tage geworden. Der in der Türkei festgenommene "Welt"-Korrespondent Yücel ist dem Haftrichter vorgeführt worden. Zuvor hatte der Staatsanwalt einen Haftbefehl wegen. Der Staatsanwalt Rheingau BlutrotUnleavened bread pizza crust: Matza Pizza. When I've made a big batch of homemade unleavened bread dough, one of the things I like to use it for. Of all the Sanibel Island restaurants, count on Matzaluna to serve the greatest combination of Florida craft beer, pasta & pizza Sanibel Island has to offer! Whether you are celebrating the final day of Passover today, or just love a good thin crust pizza Matzo can serve as the perfect base for a crispy, crunchy crust. Heat 2 teaspoons oil in a large non- stick or cast iron skillet over medium heat. Using a wide, stiff spatula, carefully remove two pizzas from baking sheet and add to skillet. Cook, swirling and rotating occasionally, until crisp and well- browned on the bottom, about 2 minutes. Transfer to cutting board. Repeat with remaining pizzas. Serve immediately, drizzled with extra olive oil and sprinkled with fresh basil if desired. Matzo Recipes Pizza
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Why can't two slices of pizza be used as a slide clicker? Why shouldn't you make music with ketchup? In this charming talk, inventor Jay Silver talks about the urge. Martina from Austria probably has the luckiest hamster in the world. Here’s the home she built for Sonic the hamster. Pregnancy shouldn't stop you from travelling. Here are my top tips for travelling while pregnant and how I've found travelling while pregnant so far. Red wine and your GUT (Important study results) Drink this 2 hours before bed to sleep better (Plus 5 tips for insomnia) Is this 1 food TOXIC to your body? Kupal - Wikipedia, ang malayang ensiklopedya. Tungkol ang lathalaing ito sa kupal, isang katas mula sa kasangkapang kasarian ng mga mamalya. Tingnan ang Vernix caseosa para sa bagay na bumabalot sa balat ng isang bata sa panahon ng pagkakapanganak sa kanya. Nagkakaroon nito kapwa sa titi ng lalaki at sa puki ng babae. Sa mga lalaki, nakakatulong ang kupal sa pananatili mamasa- masa ng burat (ang glans o dulo ng titi) at nakapagpapagaan, nakapagpapadali, o nakatutulong sa pagtatalik sa pamamagitan ng pagganap bilang isang pampadulas o lubrikante. Kazem Mollaie presents cast Levon Haftvan, Nazanin Farahani, Pouria Rahimi And Sharon Production Manager by Mitra Mehtarian Make-Up Artist by Mahmoud Dehghani Costume. Makatutulong ka sa Wikipedia sa pagpapalawig nito. Kupalisko SturovoLiterally, kupal is the dirt, dead cells, and what not found under the skin of the tip of a boy's uncircumcised penis. In English, it means smegma. Leinkupal was placed in the Diplodocinae within the Diplodocidae. A cladistic analysis indicated it was a possible sister species of Tornieria, discovered in Africa. Ang kupal (Ingles: smegma; Griyego: sm We believe our history is part of what we will do in the future, we are young but we have the idea to change our industry and how consumers use our brands. How to Avoid Awkward Silences. Alex: “The last movie I saw was Inception.”You: “Oh, I saw that movie! I liked it.”Alex: “Yeah, it was a good movie.”You: “Yeah, aha. So much silence that if feels awkward. Spreading the Awkwardness. The photographer posed us this way. Related Articles: 6 Signs That You’re Socially Awkward and How to Fix How to Start a Conversation; The Socially Inept: Symptoms and Solutions. You can hear your heart beating, you can hear the clock on the wall ticking, and you can’t tell which is which anymore. It sometimes happens, even for persons with good people skills, to have a conversation that gets stuck at certain points, no one is speaking and it doesn’t feel right. Awkward People HuggingAwkward People QuotesKnowing how to avoid awkward silences is a people skill that can save the day in such a case. I treasure a conversation with a good flow. Over the years, both me and many of my social confidence coaching clients have tested various tools and techniques to keep conversations going and to avoid those silences that feel weird. There is also a huuuge attitude component to avoiding awkward silences. The fact of the matter is that people who are confident and feel at ease in social settings naturally find ways to get over silences and create flow. That awkward moment you think of something funny during class and all of a sudden start laughing and people look at you like you’re crazy. May 15th, 2017 I'll be out of town this weekend, so here is an early comic! It's about teeth soup. How to Fill Awkward Silences. We all know what it's like when a conversation dies, and people start fidgeting in awkward boredom. It doesn't take perfect people. Gym teacher was a short fat dude who wore really short shorts. Oh y’know, just hit a pregnant teacher in. 10 Awkward Moments When You See Someone Wearing What You're Wearing. 10 Things People Don’t Realize You’re Doing Because You’re Repressing The Hell Out Of Your Feelings. Hey Jen, It’s great that you have these kinds of friends. Few people, socially awkward or not, can say they have friends for life. The risk though is that if you. So before anything else, I advise you to watch my free social confidence presentation. In it I will teach you my proven formula for becoming a charismatic and confident conversationalist. I promise it will inspire you. There are three ways to avoid awkward silences in a conversation that are on the top of my mind. Think Less, Talk More. There is always something to say in a conversation, a way to continue it. The fact that people who can keep talking for hours nonstop exist is living proof of that. Awkward silences appear in conversation many times because we don’t give ourselves permission to talk. We are overanalyzing, looking for the perfect thing to say, for the proper line to continue with. When we can’t come up with one, we shut up and just sit there. That’s what creates most awkward silences. Learn to stop looking for the perfect conversation and to just say whatever comes to your mind. If you feel like talking about the delicious pie you had for breakfast, do that. You’ll discover that it’s actually fine to let go and talk about whatever you feel like. Get Excited and Curious It’s hard to have awkward silences in a conversation when you’re a really curious person, excited to discover the other person and willing to ask them a lot of questions. The point is not to turn a conversation into an interrogatory. However, getting curious and asking questions based on this is, in my practice, one of the best ways to have a good flow in a conversation. The other person may not be so eager to talk about some subjects. Don’t interpret this as a negative reflection upon you. Continue being curious and trust me, you will discover the subjects the other person is eager to talk about. Keep the Silence, Remove the Awkward. I used to think that in a social interaction, one person must always be talking. That assumption got totally trashed when I started really observing other people interacting and noticing some people sitting at a table together, having a coffee in silence and totally enjoying the interaction. A social interaction is much more than words. An exchange between people can happen simply by having eye contact or being present together, in the same moment. Instead of trying to gap every silence, every once in a while to let it be instead and enjoy it. Make silences a natural part of a certain type of conversations. As you’ll get better at this, I can tell you from experience that you’ll really learn to appreciate silences in social interactions. Always bear in mind to work on your attitude as well. Techniques can only get you so far. I have a practical guide for you concerning this, which you can find here. The people skill of making conversation is part science, part art. How to avoid awkward silences is something that can be taught as theory up to a certain point, but it depends even more on practicing the theory and on gradually becoming more comfortable interacting with more types of people. I wish you a lot of fun with your practice. Now, get out there and be social! Image courtesy of Brandon Christopher Warren. Kotaku. Luke Plunkett is a Contributing Editor based in Canberra, Australia. He has written a book on cosplay, designed a game about airplanes, and also runs cosplay.
Essence is an essential money-saving machine and a work of art for residential and commercial spaces. Design your own Essence with this interactive tool. Luke Plunkett is a Contributing Editor based in Canberra, Australia. He has written a book on cosplay, designed a game about airplanes, and also runs cosplay.kotaku.com. Thank You for visiting our website! Beat The Street operates an extensive fleet of single, superhigh and double decker purpose-built sleeper coaches exclusive to the. Translated by Otis B Fly-Wheel for Borderland Beat from a Zetatijuana article Subject Matter: Sinaloa Cartel Recommendation: No prior subject matter knowledge required. Home - Healing successess by this little- known natural treatment have beendocumented in mainstream medical & scientific journals for over 1. Many high- quality healthcare professionals support it, including doctors (MD's). This treatment has healed many people of different conditions,including, arthritis, bronchitis, diabetes II, emphysema/COPD, and others. However, it is NOT just for sick people. Very healthy people,including athletes and the super rich—do this treatment for prevention,and to gain or maintain mental & physical peak performance. Thousands of people have successfully done this treatment. But you won't hear about it from mainstream sources—even though it'sscientifically documented in their own medical journals. You won't hear itfrom them because they're in the business of managing symptoms,not health & healing; they generally treat effects not causes.(Many good doctors and other qualified professionals have said this.)Isn't it time you learned all about this treatment, yourself? Well, you can learn all about it today ! Welcome to our website! I'm Jim, the man who beat emphysema/COPD in six weeks. This was years ago, in 1. This photo is my grand- daughter and me riding a horse in 2. Had I followed my doctor's plan (which was basically to . It also explains how we (Alan and I) can help you. This letter is also intermingled with some relevant points and facts to be aware of and consider as well as some testimonials from people who have read our e- book. After you read this page, feel free to scroll back to the top and read our other web pages by clicking on the page titles, i. Also, in the top right- hand column, check out the FREE Lung Health e. Course and the Articles. I've been where you are, and came out on top. And I was not the only one. Many people have used this treatment to beat their chronic health conditions or degenerative diseases, including emphysema/COPD and arthritis. Statement from a reader of our e- book: (See more statements on our 'Testimonials' page)! I BEAT COPD IN 8. DAYS for less than $4. Please feel free to use my experience . Our website and e- book explain all this, and more.)* . Natural treatments, by contrast, are often general; that is, as they help the body cleanse, balance and strengthen—multiple symptoms often tend to disappear. Yet, regardless of mainstream medical logic and lack of explanation—the reality is that this treatment (and other natural treatments) have achieved healing that mainstream symptom/effects- treating medicine hasn't and can't. This treatment can and has healed multiple conditions simultaneously because it is a natural substance that is crucial to our health. And when it's done with the detailed method—it quickly and potently gives the body what it needs to cleanse, balance and heal itself—which are what the body tends to and can do (see ! Many mainstream drugs and methods actually undermine these natural functions of the body's innate healing power (see . Well, guess what—mainstream medicine is right; they are . Again, their whole focus is basically about treating symptoms (effects), not treating causes. Treating symptoms or . As you know, the causes of the problems need to be addressed. Why would it be any different with overcoming health problems? Of course, mainstream medicine says its trying to find . Mainstream medicine has claimed for decades to be trying to discover cures for this and that condition. But, for nearly 5. It seems that all they're doing is not trying to cure—but developing more drugs to better manage symptoms. And many of these (man- made) drugs have proven to be producing more harm than good. If the condition and symptoms are gone as a result, as in our cases—we don't care what it's called!)The truth & reality is that: More and more people, including mainstream doctors (MD's), are fed up and frustrated with the limitations, ineffectiveness and dangers of many mainstream methods (i. Alternative medicine & natural healing are far more safe and effective than many people realize, and that mainstream medicine accepts or acknowledges. Such intelligent and highly productive people wouldn't do this if they didn't experience benefits. And, according to reports, some of these highly productive people have done or do the treatment I did. Research shows that people who choose natural healing over medicine tend to be more educated. Mainstream medicine doesn't support this substance/treatment—even though its healing benefits and positive uses have been documented in their own mainstream medical & scientific journals thousands of times going back over 1. This list of journals includes, JAMA (The Journal of the American Medical Association). Statement from another reader of our e- book: (See more statements on our 'Testimonials' page). As I started to read it, I couldn't stop. Every sentence had me on the edge of my seat. The book was so professional but down home friendly and was of very high quality. I want your future customers to know how this E- book left me to appreciate all the months and years it took you to collect all these very solid and amazing sources . I have been telling a lot of people about your website. I'm especially thankful that I've not only been able to know my grandchildren, but that throughout the years since my healing, I've been able to be relatively active with them, and do things we enjoyed together, such as, fishing, playing ball, riding horses and wood- working. These created many wonderful shared memories that would never have been had I not gotten a second chance at life. Aren't you hoping for the same: a restored life, with some energy and strength to enjoy life, family and friends? Well, this is what I experienced; and, again, I'm not the only one—many people have beaten their health conditions with this treatment.(Our information reveals why a single natural treatment, such as this one, can heal a variety of conditions.)Statement from another reader of our e- book: (See more statements on our 'Testimonials' page)? Learn how this substance/treatment has (and does) greatly benefitted BOTH sick and very healthy/wealthy people, that is, athletes and rich people? Learn the details of this treatment in a simple, detailed and easy- to- do manner? Receive additional free bonuses of natural healing treatments and ancient healing knowledge that have brought healing & health to countless people? Learn more about the paradigm of alternative medicine & natural healing, how & why it's very effective, and more? If you answered 'Yes' to any of these questions,then you're at the right website. If you answered 'Yes' to any of these questions—we have the information for you. By reading your own copy of How I Beat Emphysema and COPD in Six Weeks!, you will discover that this single substance and treatment . Since animals don't have the ability to expect/believe for a result, this pretty much rules out the placebo effect that mainstream medicine strives so hard to minimize or eliminate with double- blind testing (that is, animals don't have the capacities to believe or expect for certain results that may sway results in a subjective manner)There are actually 5 methods/treatments of using this amazing & natural substance. I used only Method 1 to beat my condition; Anne used Methods 1 & 2 to beat her COPD (see Anne's e- mails on our 'Testimonials' page)Is in alignment with Nature and its health & healing principles, processes & precision which naturally move within our bodies to cleanse, balance, strengthen, heal, rejuvenate and regenerate our bodies. These are natural functions of living organisms, including us humans (see the 'Regeneration' page). This treatment fits right into natural healing because it is of Nature. This treatment is NOT just for sick people. It can be done by virtually anyone—even healthy people. This means that, if you do this treatment, your family members & friendscan do it right along with you for support for you AND their own health. My teen- age son did it with me in 1. Many healthy people, including super healthy people, such as, athletes and the super rich use this natural substance & treatment because it . Again, the positive uses and benefits of this treatment are well- documented in mainstream medical journals, and thousands of people have used it successfully for several decades now. It's not our fault most U. S. Actually, in all fairness, however—it's not the doctors' fault they don't know. Doctors in general don't know because the medical schools in the U. S. Any doctors that do know about this treatment and support it had to study it for themselves; they also had to change their thinking about medicine and healing science because this treatment is of a different scientific paradigm than they were taught in medical school. One doctor was skeptical about this treatment, at first; but after he studied the medical journals—he became a strong supporter of using the substance. This (different) paradigm of healing was discovered (independently) and used thousands of years ago by the ancient Chinese, Ayurveda (ancient science & medicine of India), and Hippocrates of ancient Greece.(See below on this page, and the . A basic understanding of this different paradigm of healing is key to understanding how the treatment I did, and alternative medicine & natural healing in general, are so safe & effective. You don't have to learn or understand this different paradigm of healing to do the treatment I did, but it is very beneficial because you can gain some valuable knowledge that can help you better understand this treatment and alternative medicine & natural healing in general. That's why this information is in our e- book.). Insertion added. This treatment is not ancient; it is modern. And it aligns with nature and assists ourinnate healing power & processes—just as Hippocrates said 2. World’s Largest Solar Plant in California Desert. Bright. Source’s solar thermal system is operating at the Ivanpah Solar Electric Generating System (ISEGS) in California’s Mojave Desert. Ivanpah, which began commercial operation in 2. PG& E and Southern California Edison. The project is currently the largest solar thermal power plant in the world. Ivanpah was constructed by Bechtel and is operated by NRG Energy, one of the project's equity investors. For more detailed information, download the Ivanpah Fact Sheet. A 3. 77 megawatt net solar complex using mirrors to focus the power of the sun on solar receivers atop power towers. The electricity generated by all three plants is enough to serve more than 1. California during the peak hours of the day. The complex will reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions by more than 4. Located in Ivanpah, approximately 5. Needles, California (about five miles from the California- Nevada border) on federal land managed by the Bureau of Land Management. The facility is comprised of three separate plants built in phases between 2. Bright. Source Energy’s LPT solar thermal technology. Ivanpah Solar Electric Generating System - A Timeline. Click HERE for past issues of Ivanpah Update, Ivanpah's newsletter. CodeRED COMMUNITY NOTIFICATION SYSTEM: This is Mohave County with an important message for all residents and businesses located within Mohave County. Deserto del Mojave nel Parco nazionale del Joshua Tree: Ecozona: Neartica (NA) Bioma: Deserti e macchia xerofila: Superficie: 130,535 km 2: Conservazione. An Off Road Desert Racing Series in the Mojave Valley California. Mojave NarrowsAbandoned & Little-Known Airfields: California: Mojave Area © 2002, © 2017 by Paul Freeman. This site covers airfields in all 50 states: Click here. De Mojavewoestijn (Engels: Mojave Desert) is een woestijn in het zuidwesten van de Verenigde Staten. Ze bestrijkt een groot deel van Zuid-Californië en kleinere. List of Glee episodes Glee title screen. The pilot episode of the show was broadcast on May 19. 2.99: 98: 10 "Trio". Game Rating: E (Everyone). Release date: 4/3/2012; Fit: Men, Women;. Expand your world with this in-depth look at The Expanse. Hosted by Adam Savage of Mythbusters, this special looks at the story so far and the story yet to come. Season 6, episode 2, HD; TV-MA; CC;. Prosthetic designer Barrie Gower discusses the variety of special makeup effects his team creates for 'Game of Thrones.'. Buy Episode 1 SD $1.99. My husband and I watched this season 1 DVD over the last week and now we're back to buy season 2. Watch Sword Art Online (Dub) Episode 2 - Beater Watch Sword Art Online (Dub) Episode 2. Get the latest updates on show information, news. Desus & Mero season 1 episode 98. The Bronx's very own Desus Nice and The Kid Mero, aka the Bodega Boys, give you their takes on politics. Wonderful episode, but so frustrating to hear you continue the silly memes. We must stop perpetuating the Hollywood Plots as possible, let alone probable. Episode 250 State (Sanctuary, Part 2) Play Pause; Add to Queue Remove from Queue; Download; United States Capitol in Washington, D.C. State (Sanctuary, Part 2) - 9. Invisible. In the 1. United States experienced a refugee crisis. Thousands of Central Americans were fleeing civil wars in El Salvador and Guatemala, traveling north through Mexico, and crossing the border into the U. S. Listen to the previous episode below. Leaders and members of these sanctuary churches believed they had a religious imperative to help people fleeing persecution. The government, however, wasn’t swayed by the religious motivations of participating churches. In 1. 98. 4, the INS (Immigration and Naturalization Service), a predecessor to ICE (Immigration and Customs Enforcement), launched a full- scale investigation into the sanctuary movement. Their goal was to collect enough evidence to indict the leaders of the movement and to stop churches from sheltering migrants. The government believed that sanctuary volunteers were using religion as a cover to push a radical political agenda and to undermine immigration laws. INS decided to investigate the sanctuary movement using the same tactics they might use against any criminal smuggling enterprise. To this end, they enlisted undercover agents to infiltrate and gather evidence. Sanctuary movement march via CSRPC at the University of Chicago. The main undercover informants were named Jesus Cruz and Salomon Graham. Both were former smugglers who had been caught bringing undocumented people across the border. They agreed to work with the INS in exchange for payment and for having the charges against them dropped. Cruz and Graham, along with a couple of other agents, spent ten months undercover. Their methods would eventually come under public scrutiny, because they had not just infiltrated the sanctuary movement— they were also secretly recording meetings, conversations, and in some cases, church services. In January 1. 98. Jim Corbett and Reverend John Fife, the two founders of the movement, as well as a number of other priests, nuns, and congregants. They were charged with multiple counts of conspiracy to violate federal law as well as harboring, transporting, aiding, and abetting illegal aliens. The sanctuary leaders assembled a team of lawyers to assist in their defense. Attorneys chose two primary arguments to defend the sanctuary movement. Fleeing to the City of Refuge (Numbers 3. From Charles Foster, The Story of the Bible, 1. The first argument stemmed from religion. Many religions have a distinct imperative to assist people who are fleeing some form of violence and oppression. The defense planned to argue that the sanctuary workers were merely acting in accordance with their faith. They also believed the religious rights of the sanctuary workers had been violated by the government agents who’d infiltrated their churches and made secret recordings. The second part of the defense’s argument revolved around the legal framework of asylum. The law provides that people fleeing certain specific kinds of oppression or violence have a right to asylum. Refugee Act of 1. This was all happening in the context of a major shift in U. S. It gave preference to refugees fleeing communist countries and countries in the Middle East. In 1. 98. 0, President Jimmy Carter signed the Refugee Act of 1. This legislation was supposed to create a more equitable system by adopting a more humanitarian, non- ideological definition of a refugee. It drew on criteria developed by the United Nations, which identified a refugee as anyone with a well- founded fear of persecution based on race, religion, nationality, social group or political opinion. Even though this new criteria was in place when President Ronald Reagan came into office, the lawyers for the sanctuary movement believed the government was not following its own law. They thought INS was turning away large numbers of Salvadorans and Guatemalans who should have qualified as refugees. Between 1. 98. 3 and 1. Salvadorans and Guatemalans seeking asylum was under 3 percent. The defense attorneys for the sanctuary movement organizers felt like they had a strong case to make against the U. S. There was to be no discussion about context, history or motivations. Over the next several months, the prosecution laid out its case, relying heavily on testimony from their undercover informants. The defense team tried to undermine those accounts in cross- examination, raising questions about context and motivation when they could. But when it came time for them to present a case, they rested, without bringing any witnesses to the stand. United States District Court for the District of Arizona (Sandra Day O’Connor U. S. Courthouse)The jury deliberated for more than 4. On May 1, 1. 98. 6, six months after the start of the trial, the jury reached a verdict. Three of the sanctuary workers were acquitted of all charges, including Jim Corbett. Eight were found guilty, including Rev. John Fife. The judge gave out surprisingly lenient sentences. Everyone who had been convicted got five years probation. Not long after the criminal trial ended, a group of churches and refugee rights organizations filed a class action lawsuit against the government. They alleged that the government had engaged in discriminatory treatment of asylum claims made by Guatemalans and Salvadorans. In 1. 99. 0, the government settled the lawsuit, giving people from these countries temporary protected status and work permits. After this victory, the sanctuary movement started by Rev. Fife and others began to wind down. But even though the churches were slowing their work, the whole idea of sanctuary was spreading. College campuses, cities, counties, and states began to declare themselves sanctuaries—and not just for refugees fleeing persecution, but for undocumented immigrants more broadly. However, what “sanctuary” actually means varies from place to place and depends on context. U. S. In other places, all residents are promised access to city services regardless of their immigration status. President Donald Trump talked a lot about “sanctuary cities” during his campaign and has pointed to murders committed by undocumented immigrants as evidence that sanctuary cities should not exist. He’s threatened to punish self- declared sanctuary cities by stripping their federal funding and, under his direction, the Department of Homeland Security is gearing up to deport large numbers of undocumented immigrants. In response, churches, local governments, and other institutions are preparing to resist. In 2. 01. 1, U. S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement issued a memo saying that some “sensitive locations” including houses of worship, hospitals, and schools require special consideration by immigration officers, meaning the government would not prioritize deporting people from those places. But that practice isn’t codified into law and it could easily change. Recently, there have been reports of ICE agents targeting undocumented people in places like hospitals and schools. Churches might also be vulnerable. It remains to be seen what role institutions and municipalities will play in the coming years, tangled up in an issue that will almost certainly land back in the courts. Join Roman Mars and Helen Zalzman live in Los Angeles on Friday, April 1. Allusional: Objects and Words for Beautiful Nerds. This special portman. SHOW of 9. 9pi and The Allusionist is an Arts for LA fundraiser to support local creatives. Click here for tickets. Meanwhile, The Allusionist has a new episode about the meaning of “sanctuary” — though we now associate the term with safety for the persecuted, it has an even longer history of referring to something rather different: refuge for criminals. Click here to listen. A barátság és a munkája során számos kapcsolatot köt. Sikersorozat következik életében. Szívügyek terén boldog, s bizakodó lehet. Unlocking the Election The keys that predict victory could pose bad news for Clinton. Read #20.rész from the story Választás lrh. Unlocking the Election . Harriman’s predictive folly serves as an allegory of democratic politics. The unthinkable can happen, and when it does it becomes not only thinkable but natural, even commonplace. The many compelling elements of Carter’s unusual presidential quest remained shrouded from Harriman’s vision because they didn’t track with his particular experiences and political perceptions. Call it the Harriman syndrome. The Harriman syndrome has been on full display during the presidential candidacy of Donald Trump. He couldn’t possibly get the Republican nomination. No intellectual depth. A divisive character out of sync with Republicans’ true sensibilities. Then he got the nomination, and now those same perceptions are being trotted out to bolster the view that he can’t possibly become president. Besides, goes the conventional wisdom, demographic trends are impinging upon the Electoral College in ways that pretty much preclude any Republican from winning the presidency in our time. Venezuelan parliamentary election, 2015. Venezuelan parliamentary election, 2015 Miközben viszonylag könny Simple & Free Upload and download lots of files, big files, small files, data files, media files, archives or backups - any files. With Wikisend it`s simple and free. Veszprém megye legfrissebb hírei. Sporteredmények, riportok, információk Veszprém megye életéb The European Parliament election, 2014 for the election of the delegation from Hungary to the European Parliament was held on. Választás 2016But Trump actually can win, despite his gaffe- prone ways and his poor standing in the polls as the general- election campaign gets under way. I say this based upon my thesis, explored in my latest book (Where They Stand: The American Presidents in the Eyes of Voters and Historians), that presidential elections are largely referendums on the incumbent or incumbent party. If the incumbent’s record is adjudged by the electorate to be exemplary, it doesn’t matter who the challenger is or what he or she says or does. If that record is perceived as unacceptable, then again it doesn’t much matter who the challenger is or what he or she says or does. The incumbent or incumbent party loses. We can never know what the electorate will do until it goes to the polls and unlocks the secret of its collective sentiment. But some political scientists have sought to parse the referendum concept through analytical frameworks that lay bare the essence of voters’ presidential decisionmaking. Of these, the most compelling was put forth by Allan J. Lichtman and Ken De. Cell in their 1. 99. The 1. 3 Keys to the Presidency. Lichtman and De. Cell reject the notion that the electorate renders its presidential decisions based upon such things as negative ads, clever slogans, fund- raising disparities, campaign gaffes, or big- name endorsements. They believe, rather, that the voters, exercising their collective franchise, bring sound judgment to the task of choosing their leaders, that their decisions are based on big- picture considerations and not trivia, and that the country’s referendum guidance system has remained consistent through the country’s presidential history. In this view, we have been looking in the wrong places as we assess the campaign. Instead of focusing on Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton, we should be looking at the presidential performance of Barack Obama—and not his overall tenure but specifically his second- term record. Therein lie, in the Lichtman- De. Cell framework, the levers of electoral outcomes. The authors identify 1. Assessing each presidential election since Lincoln’s 1. When six or more are false, the incumbent party gets tossed out. This analytical matrix seeks to apply to politics a set of “pattern recognition’’ algorithms designed to illuminate the politics of today by discerning patterns of circumstance that have guided the country’s political path through history. In touting this analytical concept as a distillation of referendum politics in presidential elections, I also have noted its possible shortcomings as a predictive tool. Historical patterns, however finely calculated, could be broken at some point by intervening developments or events. And some of the so- called keys call for subjective judgments that inevitably generate disagreement and debate. For example, one of the keys seeks to assess whether the incumbent president has been beset by a major scandal. In their discussion of Ronald Reagan’s second term, the authors conclude that the Iran- Contra scandal was not of sufficient magnitude to turn that particular key against the Republicans. This is difficult to credit, given the long agony of congressional hearings, the career destruction of so many people near the president, and the persistent talk of impeachment or resignation. Finally, life generally, and certainly political life in particular, is too messy, chaotic, and ultimately unpredictable to be captured with utter consistency in any set of algorithms, however sophisticated. But the Lichtman- De. Cell thesis offers a far more accurate view of any campaign than we get from politicians, pundits, and campaign operatives preoccupied with “horse race’’ analyses focused on strategic and tactical maneuvers, clever debate ripostes, or positioning on issues. These are seen as the fundamental factors propelling one horse ahead in the race or retarding the progress of another. The index for assessing all this during the campaign is the public- opinion polls, which determine who’s up and who’s down at any given moment. Lichtman and De. Cell reject this approach, particularly the view that early polls have any predictive value at all. With all that in mind, the Lichtman- De. Cell thesis, if applied as a general measure of presidential performance and the possible ballot- box consequences, offers a good starting point for assessing whether the incumbent party is likely to retain the White House or lose it in this election year. And the arbitrariness of some answers, by inviting debate, adds to the intrigue of the exercise. It’s something of a parlor game, so let’s play. But first let’s note that not all the statements (presented for true- or- false answers) are strictly about success levels. Some relate simply to the circumstances surrounding the election and don’t necessarily reflect on incumbent performance. Yet, according to the thesis, they carry significant weight. So here goes: Key 1 (Incumbent- Party Mandate): After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U. S. House of Representatives than it did after the previous midterm elections. This reflects the general political standing of the incumbent party. The answer for this year is false—unfavorable to the incumbent. Key 2 (Nomination Contest): There is no serious contest for the incumbent- party nomination. Bernie Sanders, of course, has rendered this unfavorable to incumbent. Key 3 (Incumbency): The incumbent- party candidate is the sitting president. This reflects a modest benefit for presidents seeking reelection. Unfavorable to incumbent. Key 4 (Third Party): There is no significant third- party or independent campaign. With both major- party candidates logging unfavorable ratings exceeding 5. Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson could emerge as a significant factor, and even Green Party candidate Jill Stein could have a material impact on the outcome. Recent Real. Clear. Politics poll averages put Johnson at 8 percent, while Stein polls at around 4 percent. Don’t discount the possibility that this could tilt against the incumbent party, but for now I’m scoring it as indeterminate. Key 5 (Short- Term Economy): The economy is not in recession during the election campaign. It seems inconceivable that this could turn false. Favorable to incumbent. Key 6 (Long- Term Economy): Real per- capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms. Favorable to incumbent. Key 7 (Policy Change): The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy. Obama has been stymied by the opposition Congress this term, but voters don’t care about the reasons. It’s difficult to attribute to him any significant policy change. I chalk it up as unfavorable to incumbent. Key 8 (Social Unrest): There is no sustained social unrest during the term. This key denotes the voters’ collective inclination to hold government accountable when there is a lack of domestic tranquility. We’re talking here about blood in the streets, such as what emerged from the racial turmoil of the 1. We haven’t had such riots in recent years (the Rodney King riots in Los Angeles are probably the latest). But the American people, in their collective judgment, may fault the incumbent party for the significant numbers of deaths from the Islamist terrorist attacks in San Bernardino and Orlando or the recent assassination attacks on police officers. This remains indeterminate, in part because we don’t have much precedent for such violence of this magnitude, and hence its political significance is difficult to assess. But it could tilt against the incumbent. Key 9 (Scandal): The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal. I’m putting this down as unfavorable to the incumbent on the thesis that FBI Director James Comey essentially elevated the Hillary Clinton email- server controversy to major- scandal status. The scandalous behavior occurred during the first Obama term, but the story broke—and hence the scandal emerged—during the second term. This may be debatable, but most political analysts perceive it as a net negative for the incumbent- party nominee, particularly since the scandal attaches to Hillary Clinton directly. Key 1. 0 (Foreign or Military Failure): The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs. The emergence of ISIS as an Islamist terrorist force that actually commands strategic Mideast territory constitutes such a foreign/military failure. Unfavorable to incumbent. Key 1. 1 (Foreign or Military Success): The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs. I view the Iranian nuclear deal as a significant success, and I suspect the voters do too, notwithstanding the controversy that still surrounds it. Favorable to incumbent. Key 1. 2 (Incumbent Charisma): The incumbent- party candidate is charismatic or a national hero. No debate here: unfavorable to incumbent. Key 1. 3 (Challenger Charisma): The challenging- party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero. |